Top Contenders

Casey Affleck in Manchester by the Sea (Roadside Attractions/Amazon Studios)

Casey Affleck in Manchester by the Sea (Roadside Attractions/Amazon Studios)

This category is a swamp, really. Casey Affleck is deservingly steering this boat, though clearly Denzel Washington is threatening a win. And then there's  the still unseen Andrew Garfield and honestly, that can go either way and I can't imagine he'll threaten for the win (will be glad to be proven wrong!) 

In a just world Adam Driver (for Paterson) and Casey Affleck will trade wins leading up to Oscar night. 

Casey Affleck
"Manchester By the Sea"

JOEL EDGERTON
“LOVING”

Andrew Garfield
“Hacksaw Ridge”

Ryan Gosling
“La La Land”

Denzel Washington
“Fences” 

Second-Tier Contenders

ADAM DRIVER
"PATERSON"

ANDREW GARFIELD
“SILENCE”

TOM HANKS
“SULLY”

VIGGO MORTENSEN
"CAPTAIN FANTASTIC"

Chris Pine
"Hell or High Water"